Dr. Gray at the Colorado State University released an updated forecast for the remaining season on 10/3/2006.

The forecast reduces the numbers yet again.  For the remaining season which ends on November 30th, the forecast calls for 2 Named Storms, 1 Hurricane and no hurricanes of Cat 3 or greater intensity.

The following statement is made on the forecast.

"We have experienced average hurricane activity through September. August was inactive, but September had above-average activity. We expect October to have below-average activity largely due to developing El Niño conditions in the central and eastern Pacific. November activity in El Niño years is very rare."

Listed below are the October and November forecast.