CADO Admin
/ Categories: News, Hurricanes

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2019

Source: Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University

"We anticipate that the 2019 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have slightly below normal activity. The current weak El Niño event appears likely to persist and perhaps even strengthen this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are slightly below normal, and the far North Atlantic is anomalously cool. Our Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation index is below its long-term average. We anticipate a slightly below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted."

ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2019
Forecast Parameter and 1981-2010
Average (in parentheses)
Issue Date : 4 April 2019

  • Named Storms (NS) (12.1) 13
  • Named Storm Days (NSD) (59.4) 50
  • Hurricanes (H) (6.4) 5
  • Hurricane Days (HD) (24.2) 16
  • Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.7) 2
  • Major Hurricane Days (MHD) (6.2) 4
  • PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5)
    HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL
    AREAS:
    1) Entire continental U.S. coastline - 48% (average for last century is 52%)
    2) U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida - 28% (average for last century is 31%)
    3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 28% (average for last century is 30%)

The above is from the report, follow the link below for the full report.

Previous Article Taming the Flaming Cats
Next Article U.S. hit with two billion-dollar disasters so far in 2019
Print
964 Rate this article:
No rating
  • More links
  • Comments
Please login or register to post comments.

Theme picker

Up Coming Events

«February 2020»
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
272829303112
3456789
10111213141516
17181920212223
2425
2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation: Oklahoma City, OK

2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation: Oklahoma City, OK

Registration for the 2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation is now open.
 

Renewing/Obtaining Flood Control Number
Adjusters seeking to maintain their active registered status must attend an NFIP Claims Presentation each calendar year. Click here for information about the qualification process or to contact the Bureau & Statistical Agent.

Please see the Event Details for the registration link.<

Event Location: Oklahoma City, OK

Read more
262728291
23
2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation: Little Rock, AR

2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation: Little Rock, AR

Registration for the 2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation is now open.
 

Renewing/Obtaining Flood Control Number
Adjusters seeking to maintain their active registered status must attend an NFIP Claims Presentation each calendar year. Click here for information about the qualification process or to contact the Bureau & Statistical Agent.

Please see the Event Details for the registration link.

Event Location: 2019 NFIP Adjuster Authorization Course - Little Rock

Read more
45
2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation: Sacramento, CA

2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation: Sacramento, CA

Registration for the 2020 NFIP Adjuster Claims Presentation is now open.
 

Renewing/Obtaining Flood Control Number
Adjusters seeking to maintain their active registered status must attend an NFIP Claims Presentation each calendar year. Click here for information about the qualification process or to contact the Bureau & Statistical Agent.

 

Event Location: Sacramento, CA

Read more
678

Click here to add an Event

Archive