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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/07/2003 :  17:41:13  Show Profile
The wave that has passed the windward islands at times seems to be a TD or even a storm and at other times an open wave. Keep your eyes on this one, it may come to visit a coast line near you soon (GOM)

Admin

547 Posts

Posted - 07/07/2003 :  19:58:47  Show Profile
This one does look good. Another Hurricane Hunter Plane is going to take a look at it in the am.

Roy Cupps -
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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/07/2003 :  20:31:48  Show Profile
Two very strong waves right behind it and if you look at the convection zone accross Africa it is busy. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/europe/images/xxirmet7n.GIF
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Admin

547 Posts

Posted - 07/08/2003 :  08:27:05  Show Profile
This one is looking even better today.

Per NWS:"UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT"

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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/08/2003 :  10:33:37  Show Profile
This is the best looking tropical wave i've seen, Just won't close of the circulation and offically become a TD or Claudette. It will get there and it seems very likely it will reach the Yucatan and from there? maybe into the gulf and then close your eyes and throw a dart at the map.
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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/08/2003 :  19:18:17  Show Profile
Well we have Clausette, may even be a hurricane in a day or two, will it get past the Yucitan and into GOM and onward. Current 5 day forcast has it near Brownsville. This may be a long season.
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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/10/2003 :  09:51:16  Show Profile
Claudette will likely be a hurricane today, and will be in the gulf over the weekend, can anyone spell Texas?
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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/11/2003 :  00:04:42  Show Profile
Vendors started phoning this afternoon, so Claudette immediately weakend and almost doed again. appears to be getting back together now. Great link of NA and the storm
http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
where it going either north or west or maybe a bit east, unless it does something else.
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ChuckDeaton

USA
373 Posts

Posted - 07/11/2003 :  08:06:18  Show Profile
This is information from the buoy closest to claudette
Conditions at 42001 as of
(7:00 am CDT)
1200 GMT on 07/11/2003: Wind Direction (WDIR): SSE ( 160 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 15.5 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 19.4 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 2.6 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 5 sec
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 30.03 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): +0.03 in ( Rising )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 81.3 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 83.5 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 73.9 °F
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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/11/2003 :  09:16:30  Show Profile
Ship report from the Explorer of the Seas just north of the center has winds of 45knots, and look at the link this morning, she appears to be dancing around the land and regaining her form as she enters the gulf. It will be a very long weekend for the NHC, even Florida is possible this morning, and the conditions should allow for growth.
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Admin

547 Posts

Posted - 07/14/2003 :  10:18:36  Show Profile
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.7 WEST OR ABOUT
285 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

CLAUDETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF CLAUDETTE NEAR THE TEXAS
COAST ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CLAUDETTE
COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Roy Cupps -
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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/14/2003 :  10:27:57  Show Profile
As of this time (and this french lady is fickle and likes to change her mind) somewhere from Corpus to the west end of Galveston. And she has a chance to streghten likely a cat 1 but maybe a cat 2
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Todd_Summers

USA
69 Posts

Posted - 07/14/2003 :  12:24:20  Show Profile
Just out of curiosity, does anyone like to just head that way in a situation like this, without a certain assignment, or do you need a cat 3 or 4 to be so bold? I am on standby and am considering "heading that way".
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Linda

USA
127 Posts

Posted - 07/14/2003 :  13:17:10  Show Profile
Todd, that is certainly an option you have but for the following reasons I personally would not:

1. The vendors want to keep the adjusters out of harm's way.
2. You don't know yet where she will/may hit and that coast covers a lot of miles.
3. She could change direction as Mark said or just peter out and not do any real damage.
4. If you just have to get out of Lubbock and go fishing, then get going!

Good Luck
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yumadj

USA
17 Posts

Posted - 07/14/2003 :  14:48:07  Show Profile
Claudette is still wafting north with new projection from Baffin Bay to Galveston Bay and onto Louisiana Border (Port Arthur). Since these ladies like to enter bays, thereby extending their life, it could go into Baffin (Kingsville), populated Nueces Bay (Corpus), Copano Bay (Rockport), Lavaca Bay (Port Lavaca), populated Galveston Bay, or whatever. If it enters Copano Bay, and is strong enough, will have consequences for Corpus Christi as well. Likewise, above Galveston Bay is big bad Houston.

In any event, this is a large system.

Jeff Finley

Edited by - yumadj on 07/14/2003 15:19:27
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olderthendirt

USA
370 Posts

Posted - 07/14/2003 :  16:10:31  Show Profile
As the storm is mostly displaced to the north and east of center, at this time, the damages will be mostly north and east, there for a landfall by Freeport would mean heavy winds for 50 to 100 miles east and inland. The sotrm is still tracking NNE and the NHC is still predicing a turn to the w or WNW. They still expect the shear to relax and for Claudette to strengthen. The big question is whether the damages are going to be in the small towns west and south of Houston or if Houston will find out if their building codes are adequate. Tomorrow will be a long and interesting day.
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