jasper seale
New Forum User
Posts:21
 | | 05 Sep 2008 06:19 PM |
| Some models have Ike heading into the gulf, know more sunday/monday | | | |
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Steve Ebner
Member
Posts:374
| | 05 Sep 2008 07:25 PM |
| Ike looks like a serious bad boy. Possibly a 1-2 punch at Miami and Mississippi like sister Katrina. Even if he does not make landfall in Florida, there may be some serious wind to the northeast side of the storm. | | Steve Ebner
"With great power comes great responsibility." (Stanley Lieber, Amazing Fantasy # 15 August 1962) | |
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Steve Beaumont
Founding Member
Member
Posts:330
| | 05 Sep 2008 08:48 PM |
| Wouldn't care to be in the Keys in the next 4-5 days or so | | | |
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Jesse Allen
New Forum User
Posts:2
| | 05 Sep 2008 10:59 PM |
| has anyone heard of Team one Adjusting? They want to put us on standby for Ike, but we have never heard of them. I am just wondering if anyone here knows of them | | | |
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Ray Smith
Member
Posts:42
| | 06 Sep 2008 12:48 AM |
| They are a very good firm with very high standards. They pay well and on time. I would recommend them to anyone. | | | |
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Ray Hall
Veteran Member
Posts:898
| | 06 Sep 2008 05:41 AM |
| Team One will be a good company to work for. They have some good customers. I think they require XMATE. | | | |
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Bud Porter
New Forum User
Posts:12
| | 07 Sep 2008 10:58 PM |
| Any thougts on Evans Claims out of TX? Same scenario here. | | | |
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Leland Coontz
Member
Posts:108
| | 09 Sep 2008 02:38 AM |
| There is another forum for talking about vendors. To get this topic back on tack I'd like to point out that it looks more like Ike will hit somewhere around Galveston than Louisiana:
http://galvestondailynews.com/blog.lasso?blog=1726e08f78cd936b
If you go to the home page for that same paper you can read about the historical storm of 1900.
Ike could hit around Bay City TX according to some predictions. Bay City is a straight line 71 miles to Galveston; 64 miles away from Houston. Houston is inland from Galveston only about 45 miles.
The next city west from Bay City is Corpus Christi (119 miles away, with city hall 15 miles from the coast) and to the East is Beaumont, 136 miles from Bay City, with a city hall about 3o miles in from the coast.
I bet any of these could be hit.
Population:
Bay City 17,805
Galveston 57,466 (wikipedia has been updated to say: Recent paths for Hurricane Ike show that Galveston is right in the path, as of 2 pm. Monday, Sept 8th, 2008)
Houston 2.2 million
Corpus Christi 285,175
Beaumont 109,579 (wikipedia uses an older census number, perhaps because the poulation has gone DOWN)
for comparison:
New Orleans maybe 324,000 (NO is very hard to count lately, and this does not include Kenner, Metaire, etc etc)
None of my population numbers are probably that accurate, and some of the cities above have suburbs or other towns all around, adding to the poulation.
For those on the board who know, will a hit on Galveston affect Houston too? Does the distance from the coast make a big difference?
Based on thelack of coverage on the front pages of the Galveston and Bay City papers, the locals don't seem to worried.... | | | |
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Mike Kunze
Member
Posts:492
| | 09 Sep 2008 04:39 AM |
| The latest models are pointing further west.......and maybe heating back up again to a cat 4? Houston??? More warm bodies needed??? Or does Ike lose steam & the season is over? | | | |
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Ray Hall
Veteran Member
Posts:898
| | 09 Sep 2008 05:24 AM |
| About 7 counties surround Harris which is Houston, These counties have about 4 million. If the storm comes up the Houston Ship Channel from Galveton Bay salt water will be over I-45. Many trees in these counties. If it a 3 or 4 it would be the mother of all storms in reguards to number of severe insured losses. I-45 from Galveston to Past Lake Conroe is about 100 miles of dwellings and commercial losses. It would be warm body time for months. I worked Carla in 61 and Alicia in 83 both were major storms. Alicia was a cat 3 at landfall and the high rise buildings in downtown Houston had millions and millions of window , interior and roof damage. Lots of roof ballast flying around. I think mod. bit is in place now. | | | |
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Roy Estes
Member
Posts:51
| | 10 Sep 2008 03:12 AM |
| Ike predicted to be a Cat 2, Id look at Bay city Texas looks like to me | | | "Each of us as human beings has a responsibility to reach out to help our brothers and sisters affected by disasters. One day it may be us or our loved ones needing someone to reach out and help." | |
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Ray Hall
Veteran Member
Posts:898
| | 10 Sep 2008 03:47 AM |
| I think it will be the grave yard for hurricane.s the King Ranch between Kingsville and Raymondville. About 5,000 cow's, a million rattle snakes 100 cow feeder's one ranch house, one barn, and one hunting lodge and about 500 christmas trees for Exxon gas wells on both sides of US 77 for 115 mile's . One TWIA adjuster will recycle the last three estimates that have been written in the last 40 years. | | | |
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Roy Estes
Member
Posts:51
| | 10 Sep 2008 04:57 AM |
| Posted By Ray Hall on 09/09/2008 10:47 PM I think it will be the grave yard for hurricane.s the King Ranch between Kingsville and Raymondville. About 5,000 cow's, a million rattle snakes 100 cow feeder's one ranch house, one barn, and one hunting lodge and about 500 christmas trees for Exxon gas wells on both sides of US 77 for 115 mile's . One TWIA adjuster will recycle the last three estimates that have been written in the last 40 years.
HA, HA RAY, BEST TO BRUSH UP ON THE PRICE OF BEEF (AND THATS SETTLED ON THE HOOF LB BTW) POLE BARN PRICING, AND WELL HEAD SHED'S ..... ILL BET YOUR IN BROWNSVILLE AREA ANYWAY .... HAHAHAHA! GOOD TO SEE YA RAY! 
| | | "Each of us as human beings has a responsibility to reach out to help our brothers and sisters affected by disasters. One day it may be us or our loved ones needing someone to reach out and help." | |
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Ray Hall
Veteran Member
Posts:898
| | 10 Sep 2008 05:35 AM |
| Nope I am in Houston. This area has a population of over 4.2 million | | | |
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peter burch
Member
Posts:180
| | 10 Sep 2008 03:08 PM |
| Somewhere from Corpus to Freeport, I think | | | Still sliding down the razorblade of life. | |
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Steve Beaumont
Founding Member
Member
Posts:330
| | 10 Sep 2008 04:12 PM |
| I say Corpus down to the King Ranch. Bert in 99 went in at the King Ranch as a strong cat 4 and was a non event. took out a chenk of cows, some oil patch items, a lumber yard and misc other structures. For those of you who don't understand the king Ranch, it might be good reading to look it up some time. Ford even has their own "King Ranch" series truck. | | | |
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Leland Coontz
Member
Posts:108
| | 10 Sep 2008 06:26 PM |
| Its still a little early, if IKE moves a bit north it could hit Houston.
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2008/09/080908-hurricane-ike.html
Some models show the other extreme, hitting only Mexico. Most of the media seems to focus on Corpus Christi, however.
Its interesting that stories about Houston don't mention Galveston and vice versa. If it hits one, won't it likely hit the other?
Anyway, thanks Ray Hall for your input. I will have to buy you a beer when I meet you considering that you were working a major hurricane a year before I was born, and I have 3 kids myself already.
And Mr. Beaumont, I agree the King Ranch is fascinating. I read an autobiography of one of the people who grew up on it.
here's the wikipedia entry
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2008/09/080908-hurricane-ike.html
The employees of the Ranch were known as Kinenos, a Spanish influenced way of saying basically "people of King [ranch]" | | | |
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Leland Coontz
Member
Posts:108
| | 10 Sep 2008 10:51 PM |
| Not to be alarmist, but there is still a possibility of Ike being worse than Katrina:
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1078&tstamp=200809
The storm surge may be over a much wider and more populated area.
The victims may be less prepared
Galveston and Houston are not in the clear.
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Leland Coontz
Member
Posts:108
| | 10 Sep 2008 11:01 PM |
| is everybody snoozing?
models are moving north
one of the models shows a direct hit on Galveston/Houston | | | |
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peter burch
Member
Posts:180
| | 11 Sep 2008 12:27 AM |
| Already settled in south of Dallas to wait out the event, hopefully I'm far enough inland not to loss power. | | | Still sliding down the razorblade of life. | |
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