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Invest 96L - Chantal?
Last Post 05 Jul 2007 02:45 PM by Tom Toll. 8 Replies.
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Paige HaddockUser is Offline
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04 Jul 2007 11:04 PM  

OK all,

Is no one watching this?  Are we all expecting it to die out?  What do you all think?  Even the weather bugs (Peter) are quiet right now. Personally, I think it's worth watching. Maybe it would get me out of New Orleans (please?)

 


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Rob BanksUser is Offline
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04 Jul 2007 11:57 PM  
Its a goner.


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peter burchUser is Offline
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05 Jul 2007 12:00 AM  

While we were watching there was nothing to say. Cape Verde storms are very rare this time of year. Shear,  SAL and very dry air are ending 96L in a hurry. Survial chances 1% maybe.



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Paige HaddockUser is Offline
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05 Jul 2007 01:22 AM  
OK OK
Just confirming what I suspected, but didn't want to accept. 1%? That's all? Not even 5%???


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Ray SmithUser is Offline
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05 Jul 2007 01:46 AM  
Do we need to start posting this stuff again this year. I think that we had enough last. Especially this early.


Gale HawkinsUser is Offline
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05 Jul 2007 03:41 AM  
While counting your chickens before they hatch is normal however Ray does make a point. Some say a watched pot never boils.
 
Those of you that have been watching for years what are some guidelines you before giving your attention to a developing event? Does it have to get to 75W, three days from landfall, etc before getting your attention? Clearly some of you are on top of the different factors by knowing the shear factor, etc at play with each depression.


peter burchUser is Offline
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05 Jul 2007 04:51 AM  
I see nothing wrong with discussing systems, especially when they reach TD status. At that point any storm is worth attention. There are lots of weather boards for those who like to speculate about any naked swirl.


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Paige HaddockUser is Offline
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05 Jul 2007 01:51 PM  
I've just always found weather phenomena, of any kind, facinating. When the Weather Channel started up years ago, I was really hooked. It's interesting to read all the different blogs, opinions, reports and diagrams from amateurs and professionals alike, about hurricanes. If you read and research enough, it just shows you how NO ONE knows what the weather will do. We all try and outguess the weather, but when we think we've got it predicted, the man upstairs will shift some wind, wave, dust or temperature pattern that will leave us all scratching our heads.


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Tom TollUser is Offline
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05 Jul 2007 02:45 PM  

Weather is dramatically unpredictiable. What will be, will be. It is lots of fun, however, to watch weather patterns and guess at their final bloom.



Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.
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