Where do you think he will hit?

What level do you think he will be when he hits land?

cat 3 or 4 near Brazoria County, Tx.

After the debacle of Katrina, All of the notable forecasters have decided that they should not be so specific on the projected landfalls, even when they know it is as close to accurate as humanly possible.

Looking at the entire various track forecasts you see a difference of hundreds of miles. The last NHC says anywhere from Tampa to Texas.

This is a very strict CYA prediction. None of them wish to bear the ire of those that become victims. They knew that Katrina was going to hit NOLA but the predictions were not "right on". And because of that, many people were killed and billions of dollars were wasted.

It may be some time before we know where it will hit, but we deserve to have accurate predictions, so the inhabitants have a chance to escape. You don’t move millions of people in 24-48 hrs.

Caution is always preferred to devastation, IMHO>

If your in the NHC cone, your in danger.  No secret there.

If you wanna check some of the model runs

visit  www.storm2k.org

Hrm... I wonder if this storm does make landfall as a Cat 3 what are the chances of me getting to work it? I have my Texas License and am trained in Xactimate 25 w/ sketch, just never worked. With all the Starvin Marvins i think my chaances are still slim to none... LOL

but if someone thinks i do have a good chance what Rosters are my chances best at?

This is the time for all new people who have a license to get on with the hundreds of vendors who will be looking for new people and experienced adjusters alike. For the first storm people who have never worked any type of loss. Try to hook up with an adjuster who can use a helper. You are not really worth anything, but if you have ever turned out one estimate in xmate you have a very good shot of getting on with a person WHO  can use helpers for $15.00 to $20.00 per hour plus $125.00 per day living expense. If you have a brain you will learn a lot in 7 days. Now is the time to ask for a percentage of the service fee bill. But it can be 60, 65, or 70. Now use your head no one is going to pay you 30%. You would be a full partner, without any risk and you know nothing. Ask for 10% of the total service bill. (you may be worth it at this point. Never ask more than 15% of the the total service bill and you will be a 25% owner in this operation at that time and spend the rest of the storm with a person who took a chance on you being a waste of their most valuable time. and Next year spread your wings. You will not make it unless you do something like this.

This is a very cruel but true story. A vendor calls you to go to the storm site and meet them at xx hour to get your file. Do not leave unless you have that vendors fee bill with the carrier that you will be assined to. Ask for paydays, and the percentage abd so forth.

Many vendors will ask you to deploy and give you 25-30 files tell you how to write the notes and take the photos and so forth and so forth, knowing full well that you will not be able to do the work.IT will Stop the phone from ringing by 25-30 policy holders(remember you have to call all 25-30 the first day-no pay), pull your files in 10 days, use your notes and photos and close the files without ever seeing the house and screw you out the fees and several thousand dollars in expense. Its sink or swim time now, just be careful. Just remember the carriers hire the subs to keep the heat off them from all the phone calls. Kinda makes a person who has been around a long time..think some evil people  are in catastrophe business , who prey on new blood. 

Rule # ONE. It it only takes less than 3 min. to email all the contracts. Get it before you go.

Ray,

You want me to drive half way across the country to handle 25 - 30 files? 

My prediction:

Gustav and/or Hanna will make landfall and mix with toxic exhaust from generators and catastrophe adjusters’ vehicles. The system will then continue North to just West of the DelMarVa peninsula as a Southern depression.

At this point, the vortex of bad news will strengthen due to the permanent blanket of hot air over the Potomac being stirred up by the wingbeats of lame ducks preparing for their quadrennial migration. A maelstrom on Capitol Hill will result, prompting the government to vaporize a monumental quantity of taxpayer money in the hope of deflecting Category 5 criticism.

Optimists would have us believe that the current storm season will end on January 20^th.

Rush Limbaugh predicts if it Hits NOLA during the Twin Cities Convention Michelle & Osama will be sand bagging in the French Qrs instead of waiting on Homeland Security to help.

Well, Boys and girls, I don't know exactly where the "BIG G" is gonna hit but there is one thing for sure; it's gonna tear something up. Hope you folks are warmed up and ready. Cheers and goodluck

Commitment...... If you can cut it... this is a good time to weigh all the options. Of course first will be some vender/carrier that gave you some spring hail or flood work.

Good luck everyone! Looks like you will be working your rears off for a while.