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Hurricane Season,  Know before you go!

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Wind Speeds
  • Category One Hurricane - Sustained winds 74-95 mph
  • Category Two Hurricane - Sustained winds 96-110 mph
  • Category Three Hurricane  - Sustained winds 111-130 mph
  • Category Four Hurricane  - Sustained winds 131-155 mph
  • Category Five Hurricane  - Sustained winds greater than 155 mph,
     
Tropical Outlook
  NHC Atlantic Outlook
NHC Atlantic Outlook
Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THIS IS THE LAST TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE 2011 ATLANTIC
HURRICANE SEASON. THE NEXT REGULAR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL
BE ISSUED ON JUNE 1 2012. SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL
BE ISSUED AS NEEDED IF A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEM FORMS DURING
THE OFF-SEASON.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Hurricane Forecast and other news
NOAA 2011 Hurricane Forecast

May 19, 2011
Across the entire Atlantic Basin for the six-month season, which begins June 1, NOAA is predicting the following ranges this year:The Atlantic basin is expected to see an above-normal hurricane season this year, according to the seasonal outlook issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center – a division of the National Weather Service.

  • 12 to 18 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which:
     
  • 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including:
     
  • 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher)

Each of these ranges has a 70 percent likelihood, and indicate that activity will exceed the seasonal average of 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.


Source: NOAA

Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability For 2011

 

 

"We continue to foresee well above-average activity for the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season. Our seasonal forecast has been reduced slightly from early December, since there is a little uncertainty about ENSO and the maintenance of anomalously warm tropical Atlantic SST conditions. We continue to anticipate an above-average probability of United States and Caribbean major hurricane landfall."  Quote from the 4/6/2011 Forecast from Colorado State University.
AccuWeather: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season will be Active

 

AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center meteorologists, led by Meteorologist and Hurricane Forecaster Paul Pastelok, are predicting an active season for 2011 with more impact on the U.S. coastline than last year.
The team is forecasting a total of 15 named tropical storms, eight of which will attain hurricane status and three of which will attain major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher).  
Early 2011 Hurricane Season Forecast
ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2011
Named Storms 17
Hurricanes 9
Major Hurricanes 5

 

Landfall Probability
2011 Probabilities    
State Hurricane Major Hurricane
Florida 72% 35%
Texas 51% 20%
Louisiana 48% 20%
North Carolina 45% 13%
South Carolina 29% 7%
Alabama 26% 5%
Georgia 19% 2%
Mississippi 18% 8%
New York 13% 6%
Connecticut 12% 3%
Massachusetts 12% 3%
Virginia 11% 1%
Rhode Island 10% 5%
Maine 7% < 1%
Maryland 2% < 1%
Delaware 2% < 1%
New Jersey 2% < 1%
New Hampshire 2% < 1%

 

Source: United States Landfalling Hurricane Probability Project

Storm Names

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Katia
Lee 
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Rina
Sean
Tammy
Vince
Whitney

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Hurricane Damage
After Cyclone
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